SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
Mar 28, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

Signal density at 57 percent. The market is mispricing tonight.

Games scanned
14
Edges found
11
Signals
8

Observation

The underdog side is where the model is finding room. 11 edges on dogs against 1 on favorites, with 8 clearing the threshold.

Market Efficiency

91 MEI · rare inefficiency regime

Bias

1 favorites · 8.3%11 underdogs · 91.7%

Top Edge

+15.0% · largest edge on the board. Details unlock after the last start.

Edge Map

Signal · lockeduntil last start
Signal · lockeduntil last start
Signal · lockeduntil last start
Signal · lockeduntil last start
Signal · lockeduntil last start
Signal · lockeduntil last start
Signal · lockeduntil last start
DET @ SD-13.7% · Below threshold
NYY @ SF-7.1% · Below threshold
Signal · lockeduntil last start
TEX @ PHI-2.8% · Below threshold
LAA @ HOU-0.5% · Below threshold
KC @ ATL-0.5% · Below threshold
BOS @ CIN+6.2% · Below threshold

Near Misses

Implication

The board is mispriced at a scale the model does not often see. The threshold still decides.

Why This Matters

Every number earns its place or sits out.