Observation
2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
63 MEI · active regime
Bias
3 favorites · 25.0%9 underdogs · 75.0%
Top Edge
+6.2% · Los Angeles Angels · Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Angels
Edge Map
STL @ WAS-6.0% · Final STL 7-6 WAS
OAK @ NYY-6.0% · Pending
SEA @ TEX-6.0% · Final SEA 2-3 TEX
KC @ CLE-6.0% · Final KC 1-2 CLE
BAL @ CHW-6.0% · Final BAL 4-2 CHW
PHI @ SF-5.7% · Final PHI 0-4 SF
LAD @ TOR-5.7% · Final LAD 4-1 TOR
HOU @ COL+5.5% · Final HOU 1-5 COL
ARI @ NYM-1.1% · Final ARI 3-4 NYM
SD @ PIT-1.8% · Final SD 1-7 PIT
MIL @ BOS-1.9% · Final MIL 2-3 BOS
CIN @ MIA-4.0% · Final CIN 6-3 MIA
CHC @ TB-4.1% · Final CHC 9-2 TB
DET @ MIN+4.9% · Final DET 2-4 MIN
ATL @ LAA+6.2% · Final ATL 4-2 LAA
Near Misses
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Closing Line Audit
ATL @ LAA+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
BAL @ CHW+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
DET @ MIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ NYM-1.5 to -2.5 · Market efficient
CHC @ TB-1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
CIN @ MIA+1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.