Observation
1 signal issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
60 MEI · active regime
Bias
1 favorites · 11.1%8 underdogs · 88.9%
Top Edge
+6.0% · Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals
Edge Map
BAL @ KC-6.0% · Final BAL 7-5 KC
HOU @ CLE-6.0% · Final HOU 9-2 CLE
CIN @ TB-6.0% · Final CIN 6-1 TB
PHI @ CHC-6.0% · Pending
TOR @ LAA-6.0% · Final TOR 4-2 LAA
OAK @ SEA-1.4% · Final OAK 3-3 SEA
DET @ BOS-2.1% · Final DET 6-8 BOS
STL @ MIA-2.8% · Final STL 3-5 MIA
LAD @ COL-4.2% · Final LAD 12-3 COL
ATL @ WAS+4.3% · Final ATL 9-4 WAS
Near Misses
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Closing Line Audit
ATL @ WAS+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
HOU @ CLE+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
BAL @ KC+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
CIN @ TB+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
DET @ BOS-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
LAD @ COL+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
The math does not celebrate.