SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
Apr 21, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

Market underpricing favorites tonight. 10 edges on the top side.

Games scanned
15
Edges found
12
Signals
2

Observation

2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.

Market Efficiency

63 MEI · active regime

Bias

0 favorites · 0.0%13 underdogs · 100.0%

Top Edge

+6.0% · Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds @ Tampa Bay Rays

Edge Map

CIN @ TB-6.0% · Final CIN 12-6 TB
MIL @ DET-6.0% · Final MIL 12-4 DET
STL @ MIA-6.0% · Final STL 5-3 MIA
ATL @ WAS-6.0% · Final ATL 4-11 WAS
NYY @ BOS-6.0% · Final NYY 4-0 BOS
MIN @ NYM-6.0% · Pending
PHI @ CHC-6.0% · Final PHI 4-7 CHC
TOR @ LAA-6.0% · Final TOR 4-1 LAA
OAK @ SEA-6.0% · Final OAK 4-2 SEA
PIT @ TEX-6.0% · Final PIT 1-5 TEX
LAD @ SF-5.0% · Final LAD 1-3 SF
SD @ COL-3.0% · Final SD 1-0 COL
CHW @ ARI-0.8% · Final CHW 8-2 ARI
HOU @ CLE-0.9% · Final HOU 5-8 CLE
BAL @ KC-4.9% · Final BAL 5-6 KC

Near Misses

Implication

The board paid. The process is why.

Closing Line Audit

NYY @ BOS+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
PHI @ CHC+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
ATL @ WAS+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
BAL @ KC-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CHW @ ARI-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CIN @ TB+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient

Why This Matters

One night proves nothing. The ledger proves everything.