Observation
4 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
71 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
1 favorites · 11.1%8 underdogs · 88.9%
Top Edge
+6.6% · Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals @ Athletics
Edge Map
DET @ ATL+6.0% · Final DET 5-2 ATL
STL @ PIT · St. Louis Cardinals +1.5-6.0% · +0.8u
COL @ CIN-6.0% · Final COL 4-6 CIN
WAS @ NYM-6.0% · Final WAS 5-4 NYM
ARI @ MIL-6.0% · Final ARI 1-13 MIL
TOR @ MIN-6.0% · Final TOR 1-7 MIN
SF @ PHI-3.0% · Final SF 5-6 PHI
KC @ OAK-6.6% · Final KC 3-6 OAK
HOU @ BAL-6.6% · Final HOU 11-5 BAL
Near Misses
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Closing Line Audit
STL @ PIT-1.5 to +3.5 · Model edge
ARI @ MIL-1.5 to -2.5 · Market efficient
COL @ CIN-1.5 to -1.5 · Tied
DET @ ATL+1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
HOU @ BAL-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
KC @ OAK-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.