SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
May 1, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

Value sitting with the underdogs tonight. 2 signals, mostly dogs.

Games scanned
15
Edges found
9
Signals
2

Observation

2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.

Market Efficiency

68 MEI · active regime

Bias

5 favorites · 35.7%9 underdogs · 64.3%

Top Edge

+10.9% · Minnesota Twins · Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins

Edge Map

TEX @ DET-6.0% · Pending
BAL @ NYY-6.0% · Final BAL 2-7 NYY
HOU @ BOS-6.0% · Final HOU 1-3 BOS
PHI @ MIA-6.0% · Final PHI 6-5 MIA
LAD @ STL+2.9% · Final LAD 2-7 STL
ATL @ COL+0.9% · Final ATL 8-6 COL
CHW @ SD-2.5% · Final CHW 8-0 SD
SF @ TB-2.9% · Final SF 0-3 TB
ARI @ CHC-3.3% · Final ARI 5-6 CHC
KC @ SEA-3.5% · Final KC 6-4 SEA
MIL @ WAS+4.6% · Final MIL 6-1 WAS
CIN @ PIT-8.0% · Final CIN 1-9 PIT
NYM @ LAA+10.1% · Final NYM 4-3 LAA
CLE @ OAK+10.3% · Final CLE 6-4 OAK
TOR @ MIN+10.9% · Final TOR 7-3 MIN

Near Misses

Implication

The entries held and the close agreed. Both matter.

Closing Line Audit

ATL @ COL+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
CLE @ OAK+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
MIL @ WAS+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
NYM @ LAA+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
TOR @ MIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ CHC-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient

Why This Matters

Receipts over narratives.