Observation
2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
66 MEI · active regime
Bias
1 favorites · 7.1%13 underdogs · 92.9%
Top Edge
+8.8% · Baltimore Orioles · Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles
Edge Map
COL @ PHI · Colorado Rockies +1.5-6.0% · -1.0u
LAA @ TOR-6.0% · Final LAA 6-1 TOR
SEA @ CHW-6.0% · Final SEA 1-2 CHW
NYY @ MIL-6.0% · Final NYY 3-4 MIL
CHC @ TEX-6.0% · Final CHC 0-3 TEX
PIT @ SF-6.0% · Final PIT 6-7 SF
NYM @ ARI-6.0% · Final NYM 1-5 ARI
HOU @ CIN-4.4% · Final HOU 0-5 CIN
MIN @ CLE-1.9% · Final MIN 5-4 CLE
TB @ BOS-3.5% · Final TB 4-1 BOS
ATL @ LAD-4.7% · Final ATL 7-2 LAD
STL @ SD-5.0% · Final STL 2-3 SD
WAS @ MIA-5.0% · Final WAS 2-5 MIA
DET @ KC-6.0% · Final DET 6-3 KC
OAK @ BAL+8.8% · Final OAK 1-2 BAL
Near Misses
Implication
A miss on both axes. The ledger takes it as it is.
Closing Line Audit
OAK @ BAL+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ATL @ LAD-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CHC @ TEX-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
COL @ PHI-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
DET @ KC-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
HOU @ CIN-1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
The math does not celebrate.