Observation
1 signal issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
50 MEI · active regime
Bias
2 favorites · 40.0%3 underdogs · 60.0%
Top Edge
+7.1% · Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers
Edge Map
TB @ TOR-6.0% · Pending
SF @ LAD-3.4% · Final SF 3-2 LAD
NYY @ BAL+3.3% · Final NYY 2-3 BAL
LAA @ CLE-1.9% · Final LAA 2-7 CLE
SEA @ HOU+6.8% · Final SEA 3-1 HOU
ARI @ TEX-7.1% · Final ARI 1-0 TEX
Near Misses
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Closing Line Audit
SEA @ HOU+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ TEX-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
LAA @ CLE-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
NYY @ BAL+1.5 to +1.5 · Tied
SF @ LAD-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
TB @ TOR-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
Receipts over narratives.