Observation
2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
74 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
3 favorites · 21.4%11 underdogs · 78.6%
Top Edge
+12.5% · Minnesota Twins · Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins
Edge Map
COL @ PIT-12.0% · Pending
TB @ TOR-12.0% · Final TB 7-6 TOR
CHC @ ATL-12.0% · Final CHC 2-5 ATL
SF @ LAD-12.0% · Final SF 3-2 LAD
KC @ CHW-7.5% · Final KC 5-6 CHW
SEA @ HOU+1.2% · Final SEA 10-2 HOU
NYY @ BAL+2.0% · Final NYY 6-2 BAL
STL @ OAK-3.7% · Final STL 6-3 OAK
LAA @ CLE-4.4% · Final LAA 2-3 CLE
SD @ MIL-4.5% · Final SD 4-6 MIL
WAS @ CIN-4.5% · Final WAS 10-4 CIN
DET @ NYM-5.2% · Final DET 2-10 NYM
ARI @ TEX-5.5% · Final ARI 4-7 TEX
PHI @ BOS+7.3% · Final PHI 2-1 BOS
MIA @ MIN+12.5% · Final MIA 0-3 MIN
Near Misses
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Closing Line Audit
CHC @ ATL+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
MIA @ MIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
NYY @ BAL+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
PHI @ BOS+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ TEX-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
COL @ PIT-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.