SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
May 14, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

No directional lean: 4 chalk, 4 dogs.

Games scanned
9
Edges found
7
Signals
3

Observation

3 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.

Market Efficiency

81 MEI · high opportunity regime

Bias

0 favorites · 0.0%8 underdogs · 100.0%

Top Edge

+12.0% · Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

Edge Map

SEA @ HOU-12.0% · Final SEA 8-3 HOU
STL @ OAK · St. Louis Cardinals +1.5-12.0% · +1.6u
PHI @ BOS-12.0% · Final PHI 3-1 BOS
CHC @ ATL-9.6% · Final CHC 2-0 ATL
KC @ CHW-8.9% · Final KC 2-6 CHW
MIA @ MIN-6.2% · Final MIA 1-9 MIN
SF @ LAD-3.9% · Final SF 2-2 LAD
DET @ NYM-0.4% · Final DET 4-9 NYM
SD @ MIL-5.1% · Final SD 1-7 MIL

Near Misses

Implication

A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.

Closing Line Audit

STL @ OAK+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
CHC @ ATL-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
DET @ NYM-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
KC @ CHW+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
MIA @ MIN-1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
PHI @ BOS+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient

Why This Matters

One night proves nothing. The ledger proves everything.