SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
May 16, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

Dogs leading the edge board: 9 underdog vs 4 favorite.

Games scanned
15
Edges found
10
Signals
2

Observation

2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.

Market Efficiency

75 MEI · high opportunity regime

Bias

5 favorites · 38.5%8 underdogs · 61.5%

Top Edge

+13.1% · St. Louis Cardinals · Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals

Edge Map

BAL @ WAS · Baltimore Orioles -1.5-12.0% · -1.0u
TOR @ DET-12.0% · Final TOR 2-1 DET
TEX @ HOU-7.3% · Final TEX 1-4 HOU
ARI @ COL-5.9% · Final ARI 2-4 COL
SD @ SEA-0.1% · Final SD 7-4 SEA
LAD @ LAA+1.2% · Final LAD 6-2 LAA
MIA @ TB-2.6% · Final MIA 10-5 TB
PHI @ PIT+3.2% · Final PHI 6-0 PIT
BOS @ ATL-4.2% · Final BOS 3-2 ATL
MIL @ MIN+5.6% · Final MIL 2-1 MIN
SF @ OAK-7.1% · Final SF 6-4 OAK
NYY @ NYM+8.4% · Final NYY 3-6 NYM
CIN @ CLE-10.3% · Final CIN 4-7 CLE
CHC @ CHW+10.8% · Final CHC 3-8 CHW
KC @ STL+13.1% · Final KC 2-4 STL

Near Misses

Implication

The entry did not hold and the close did not help. Logged either way.

Closing Line Audit

ARI @ COL+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
CHC @ CHW+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
NYY @ NYM+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
BAL @ WAS+1.5 to -3.5 · Market efficient
BOS @ ATL-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CIN @ CLE-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient

Why This Matters

Every signal tracked. Nothing removed.