Observation
4 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
80 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
4 favorites · 30.8%9 underdogs · 69.2%
Top Edge
+12.4% · Chicago White Sox · Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox
Edge Map
TB @ BAL · Tampa Bay Rays -1.5-12.0% · -1.0u
PHI @ SD-12.0% · Final PHI 3-0 SD
HOU @ TEX-12.0% · Final HOU 9-0 TEX
STL @ MIL-9.5% · Final STL 1-5 MIL
COL @ LAD-6.3% · Final COL 3-5 LAD
ARI @ SF-4.5% · Final ARI 6-2 SF
SEA @ OAK+4.8% · Final SEA 7-0 OAK
MIA @ TOR-5.4% · Final MIA 8-2 TOR
CIN @ NYM-5.5% · Final CIN 7-2 NYM
WAS @ CLE-5.8% · Final WAS 10-2 CLE
NYY @ KC+7.4% · Final NYY 4-3 KC
CHC @ PIT+10.7% · Final CHC 1-2 PIT
MIN @ CHW+12.4% · Final MIN 1-3 CHW
Near Misses
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Closing Line Audit
CHC @ PIT+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
MIN @ CHW+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
NYY @ KC+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ SF-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CIN @ NYM-1.5 to +2.5 · Market efficient
COL @ LAD-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.