Observation
3 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
83 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
3 favorites · 25.0%9 underdogs · 75.0%
Top Edge
+14.1% · St. Louis Cardinals · Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals
Edge Map
CLE @ NYY-12.0% · Pending
KC @ CIN-12.0% · Final KC 3-4 CIN
TOR @ ATL+12.0% · Final TOR 3-4 ATL
PIT @ HOU-12.0% · Final PIT 10-6 HOU
MIA @ WAS-12.0% · Final MIA 7-3 WAS
SF @ MIL-10.9% · Final SF 3-8 MIL
LAD @ ARI-9.9% · Final LAD 6-2 ARI
SD @ PHI-1.5% · Final SD 2-3 PHI
NYM @ SEA-0.8% · Final NYM 3-8 SEA
BAL @ BOS-0.3% · Final BAL 4-2 BOS
DET @ TB-2.0% · Final DET 8-0 TB
OAK @ CHC-3.0% · Final OAK 2-1 CHC
COL @ LAA-4.5% · Final COL 8-2 LAA
CHW @ MIN+10.6% · Final CHW 4-6 MIN
TEX @ STL+14.1% · Final TEX 7-4 STL
Near Misses
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Closing Line Audit
CHW @ MIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
TEX @ STL+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
BAL @ BOS-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CLE @ NYY-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
COL @ LAA-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
DET @ TB-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
The math does not celebrate.