Observation
2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
73 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
1 favorites · 8.3%11 underdogs · 91.7%
Top Edge
+15.4% · St. Louis Cardinals · Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals
Edge Map
MIA @ WAS-12.0% · Final MIA 4-1 WAS
OAK @ CHC-12.0% · Pending
SD @ PHI-11.5% · Final SD 2-3 PHI
PIT @ HOU-6.8% · Final PIT 9-11 HOU
BAL @ BOS-3.5% · Final BAL 1-8 BOS
LAD @ ARI-3.4% · Final LAD 7-0 ARI
KC @ CIN-2.8% · Final KC 5-2 CIN
DET @ TB-0.9% · Final DET 7-2 TB
SF @ MIL-1.3% · Final SF 1-0 MIL
CLE @ NYY-1.7% · Final CLE 5-4 NYY
COL @ LAA-3.0% · Final COL 3-11 LAA
TOR @ ATL-3.1% · Final TOR 3-7 ATL
CHW @ MIN-4.4% · Final CHW 8-0 MIN
NYM @ SEA-7.5% · Final NYM 7-1 SEA
TEX @ STL+15.4% · Final TEX 3-5 STL
Near Misses
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Closing Line Audit
TEX @ STL+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
BAL @ BOS-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CHW @ MIN-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CLE @ NYY-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
COL @ LAA-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
DET @ TB-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.