SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
Jun 12, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

Dogs leading the edge board: 13 underdog vs 2 favorite.

Games scanned
15
Edges found
12
Signals
3

Observation

3 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.

Market Efficiency

79 MEI · high opportunity regime

Bias

5 favorites · 33.3%10 underdogs · 66.7%

Top Edge

+13.7% · Cincinnati Reds · Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds

Edge Map

DET @ CLE · Cleveland Guardians +1.5+12.0% · +1.6u
NYY @ TOR-12.0% · Final NYY 5-8 TOR
PHI @ MIL-12.0% · Final PHI 0-6 MIL
CHC @ SF-12.0% · Final CHC 5-0 SF
COL @ OAK-7.9% · Final COL 0-2 OAK
TB @ LAA-6.1% · Final TB 2-4 LAA
ATL @ NYM-3.6% · Final ATL 5-7 NYM
LAD @ CHW+2.3% · Final LAD 2-8 CHW
MIA @ PIT-3.2% · Final MIA 8-3 PIT
STL @ MIN-5.1% · Final STL 8-9 MIN
SEA @ WAS+5.9% · Final SEA 10-2 WAS
SD @ BAL-6.0% · Final SD 3-7 BAL
HOU @ KC+11.8% · Final HOU 10-8 KC
TEX @ BOS-13.3% · Final TEX 1-10 BOS
ARI @ CIN+13.7% · Final ARI 5-2 CIN

Near Misses

Implication

The entries held and the close agreed. Both matter.

Closing Line Audit

ARI @ CIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
DET @ CLE+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
HOU @ KC+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
LAD @ CHW+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
SEA @ WAS+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ATL @ NYM+1.5 to -1.5 · Tied

Why This Matters

Variance is rent. CLV is equity.