SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
Jun 13, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

Underdogs carrying the value. 8 of 12 edges on dogs.

Games scanned
15
Edges found
11
Signals
4

Observation

4 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.

Market Efficiency

85 MEI · rare inefficiency regime

Bias

4 favorites · 33.3%8 underdogs · 66.7%

Top Edge

+15.3% · Boston Red Sox · Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox

Edge Map

NYY @ TOR-12.0% · Final NYY 3-1 TOR
SD @ BAL · San Diego Padres +1.5-12.0% · +1.6u
SEA @ WAS-12.0% · Final SEA 3-8 WAS
ATL @ NYM-12.0% · Final ATL 3-1 NYM
TB @ LAA-12.0% · Final TB 0-4 LAA
MIA @ PIT-6.8% · Final MIA 2-3 PIT
LAD @ CHW+0.6% · Final LAD 7-1 CHW
COL @ OAK-0.7% · Final COL 5-6 OAK
ARI @ CIN+1.2% · Final ARI 1-2 CIN
DET @ CLE+2.2% · Final DET 1-3 CLE
HOU @ KC-5.6% · Final HOU 8-7 KC
PHI @ MIL-9.1% · Final PHI 9-8 MIL
STL @ MIN+9.8% · Final STL 9-6 MIN
CHC @ SF+11.0% · Final CHC 6-1 SF
TEX @ BOS+15.3% · Final TEX 3-6 BOS

Near Misses

Implication

Cleared, closed, banked. The ledger records it without adjectives.

Closing Line Audit

CHC @ SF+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
MIA @ PIT-1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
NYY @ TOR+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
SD @ BAL-1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
SEA @ WAS+1.5 to -2.5 · Model edge
ARI @ CIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Tied

Why This Matters

Wins that missed the close get audited too.