Observation
3 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
71 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
4 favorites · 28.6%10 underdogs · 71.4%
Top Edge
+12.0% · Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
Edge Map
TOR @ BOS-12.0% · Pending
TB @ LAD+11.3% · Final TB 0-1 LAD
COL @ CHC-8.3% · Final COL 5-2 CHC
DET @ HOU-8.1% · Final DET 2-4 HOU
SF @ ATL-3.3% · Final SF 3-2 ATL
MIA @ PHI-2.6% · Final MIA 2-8 PHI
CLE @ MIL-2.0% · Final CLE 1-2 MIL
BAL @ SEA-0.7% · Final BAL 1-3 SEA
PIT @ OAK-2.4% · Final PIT 5-5 OAK
KC @ WAS-2.8% · Final KC 4-6 WAS
LAA @ ARI+5.7% · Final LAA 7-0 ARI
CHW @ NYY-6.1% · Final CHW 2-12 NYY
MIN @ TEX-6.9% · Final MIN 12-2 TEX
NYM @ CIN+7.0% · Final NYM 3-5 CIN
SD @ STL+8.7% · Final SD 2-3 STL
Near Misses
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Closing Line Audit
NYM @ CIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
TB @ LAD-1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
BAL @ SEA-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CHW @ NYY-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CLE @ MIL-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
COL @ CHC-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
A loss that beat the close was a good trade.