Observation
2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
81 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
4 favorites · 36.4%7 underdogs · 63.6%
Top Edge
+12.4% · Miami Marlins · San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins
Edge Map
WAS @ TB+12.0% · Final WAS 2-5 TB
CLE @ HOU+12.0% · Final CLE 3-9 HOU
BAL @ LAD-12.0% · Pending
BOS @ SEA-12.0% · Final BOS 2-0 SEA
TOR @ CHC-12.0% · Final TOR 2-16 CHC
CIN @ NYY-12.0% · Final CIN 0-5 NYY
PIT @ COL-5.3% · Final PIT 3-4 COL
SD @ TEX-3.7% · Final SD 7-9 TEX
CHW @ DET-2.5% · Final CHW 3-4 DET
MIN @ ARI-0.9% · Final MIN 3-5 ARI
MIL @ ATL+1.8% · Final MIL 2-3 ATL
LAA @ OAK-1.8% · Final LAA 11-4 OAK
STL @ KC+7.2% · Final STL 5-6 KC
SF @ MIA+12.4% · Final SF 3-4 MIA
Near Misses
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Closing Line Audit
MIL @ ATL+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
SF @ MIA-1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
BAL @ LAD-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
BOS @ SEA+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
CHW @ DET-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CIN @ NYY-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.