Observation
5 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
86 MEI · rare inefficiency regime
Bias
1 favorites · 8.3%11 underdogs · 91.7%
Top Edge
+12.1% · Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals
Edge Map
TEX @ MIA-12.0% · Final TEX 4-3 MIA
HOU @ TOR-12.0% · Pending
CHC @ NYM-12.0% · Final CHC 0-0 NYM
CLE @ CHW-12.0% · Final CLE 5-6 CHW
PHI @ WAS-12.0% · Final PHI 1-4 WAS
ATL @ SD-12.0% · Final ATL 0-1 SD
MIL @ CIN-8.8% · Final MIL 2-1 CIN
BOS @ COL-7.1% · Final BOS 2-3 COL
NYY @ DET-7.0% · Final NYY 3-5 DET
KC @ TB-2.9% · Final KC 2-1 TB
BAL @ LAA-1.7% · Final BAL 6-0 LAA
LAD @ MIN+4.1% · Final LAD 2-1 MIN
ARI @ STL-12.1% · Final ARI 2-3 STL
Near Misses
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Closing Line Audit
LAD @ MIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
TEX @ MIA+1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ STL-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
ATL @ SD+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
BAL @ LAA+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
BOS @ COL+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
The math does not celebrate.