Observation
3 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
82 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
4 favorites · 26.7%11 underdogs · 73.3%
Top Edge
+14.3% · Detroit Tigers · Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers
Edge Map
TEX @ TOR-12.0% · Final TEX 5-4 TOR
MIA @ STL-12.0% · Final MIA 4-0 STL
OAK @ LAA-12.0% · Pending
LAD @ SD-12.0% · Final LAD 1-3 SD
CIN @ PIT-11.6% · Final CIN 6-4 PIT
PHI @ NYM-5.2% · Final PHI 2-1 NYM
ARI @ TB-4.4% · Final ARI 1-6 TB
CHC @ MIL-4.1% · Final CHC 2-6 MIL
COL @ MIN-3.1% · Final COL 8-9 MIN
WAS @ BAL-8.2% · Final WAS 1-3 BAL
KC @ CHW-8.6% · Final KC 1-22 CHW
ATL @ SF+11.2% · Final ATL 3-1 SF
SEA @ CLE+11.6% · Final SEA 3-1 CLE
NYY @ BOS+11.7% · Final NYY 1-6 BOS
HOU @ DET+14.3% · Final HOU 0-8 DET
Near Misses
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Closing Line Audit
ATL @ SF+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
HOU @ DET+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
NYY @ BOS+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
SEA @ CLE+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ TB-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CHC @ MIL-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
A loss that beat the close was a good trade.