Observation
3 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
81 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
2 favorites · 15.4%11 underdogs · 84.6%
Top Edge
+14.7% · Chicago White Sox · Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox
Edge Map
ATL @ PIT · Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5+12.0% · -1.0u
NYY @ TB-12.0% · Final NYY 0-3 TB
COL @ LAD-12.0% · Final COL 3-3 LAD
TOR @ SF-11.4% · Final TOR 10-0 SF
MIL @ STL-8.4% · Final MIL 1-5 STL
KC @ NYM-7.9% · Final KC 2-6 NYM
SEA @ MIA-7.7% · Final SEA 0-2 MIA
OAK @ DET-0.1% · Final OAK 1-6 DET
CHC @ BAL-0.4% · Final CHC 9-7 BAL
ARI @ SD-2.0% · Final ARI 1-4 SD
HOU @ WAS-5.4% · Final HOU 2-8 WAS
PHI @ CIN-7.0% · Final PHI 5-11 CIN
LAA @ TEX-7.7% · Final LAA 13-1 TEX
CLE @ MIN-9.1% · Final CLE 5-6 MIN
BOS @ CHW+14.7% · Final BOS 5-0 CHW
Near Misses
Implication
The entry did not hold and the close did not help. Logged either way.
Closing Line Audit
BOS @ CHW+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ SD-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
ATL @ PIT+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
CHC @ BAL+1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
CLE @ MIN-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
COL @ LAD-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.