Observation
2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.
Market Efficiency
75 MEI · high opportunity regime
Bias
2 favorites · 22.2%7 underdogs · 77.8%
Top Edge
+12.0% · Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox
Edge Map
BOS @ CHW · Boston Red Sox -1.5-12.0% · -1.0u
SEA @ MIA-11.4% · Final SEA 4-8 MIA
MIL @ STL-11.1% · Final MIL 8-4 STL
ARI @ SD-8.3% · Final ARI 3-1 SD
CHC @ BAL-5.2% · Final CHC 2-3 BAL
NYY @ TB-2.1% · Final NYY 12-4 TB
PHI @ CIN-0.9% · Final PHI 1-0 CIN
OAK @ DET-0.2% · Final OAK 1-4 DET
KC @ NYM-0.5% · Final KC 3-7 NYM
COL @ SF-1.3% · Final COL 2-4 SF
LAA @ TEX-3.4% · Final LAA 6-7 TEX
CLE @ MIN+7.5% · Final CLE 5-2 MIN
ATL @ PIT+8.4% · Final ATL 10-5 PIT
Near Misses
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Closing Line Audit
ATL @ PIT+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
CLE @ MIN+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ SD-1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
BOS @ CHW+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
CHC @ BAL-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
COL @ SF-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient
Why This Matters
The math does not celebrate.