SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
Jul 25, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

Dogs leading the edge board: 11 underdog vs 2 favorite.

Games scanned
14
Edges found
12
Signals
2

Observation

2 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.

Market Efficiency

82 MEI · high opportunity regime

Bias

6 favorites · 46.2%7 underdogs · 53.8%

Top Edge

+14.6% · Boston Red Sox · Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

Edge Map

CLE @ TB+12.0% · Final CLE 0-3 TB
CHC @ PIT+12.0% · Final CHC 11-0 PIT
SEA @ TEX-12.0% · Pending
COL @ MIL-9.3% · Final COL 5-8 MIL
LAD @ NYM-5.5% · Final LAD 4-3 NYM
KC @ DET-4.0% · Final KC 3-2 DET
ARI @ WAS-0.7% · Final ARI 3-5 WAS
LAA @ SF-5.9% · Final LAA 2-9 SF
ATL @ BAL+7.9% · Final ATL 2-3 BAL
NYY @ PHI+9.9% · Final NYY 3-1 PHI
SD @ MIA-10.2% · Final SD 7-2 MIA
CIN @ STL+11.2% · Final CIN 0-7 STL
HOU @ CHW-11.4% · Final HOU 4-1 CHW
TOR @ BOS+14.6% · Final TOR 6-0 BOS

Near Misses

Implication

The entries held and the close agreed. Both matter.

Closing Line Audit

CHC @ PIT-1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
CIN @ STL+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
CLE @ TB-1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
HOU @ CHW+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
NYY @ PHI+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ WAS-1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient

Why This Matters

The math does not celebrate.