SHARP PICKS Sharp Journal
Jul 26, 2026 MLB Daily Market Scan

Underdogs carrying the value. 11 of 13 edges on dogs.

Games scanned
14
Edges found
12
Signals
4

Observation

4 signals issued. Final closing-line audit and per-game grading below.

Market Efficiency

83 MEI · high opportunity regime

Bias

4 favorites · 30.8%9 underdogs · 69.2%

Top Edge

+13.7% · San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins

Edge Map

CLE @ TB · Cleveland Guardians +1.5-12.0% · +1.8u
COL @ MIL-12.0% · Final COL 2-11 MIL
SEA @ TEX-12.0% · Final SEA 6-4 TEX
NYY @ PHI-10.7% · Final NYY 4-11 PHI
ARI @ WAS-10.1% · Final ARI 7-10 WAS
KC @ DET-3.2% · Final KC 5-4 DET
TOR @ BOS-0.6% · Final TOR 1-6 BOS
CHC @ PIT-5.0% · Final CHC 7-8 PIT
LAD @ NYM+5.2% · Final LAD 3-8 NYM
CIN @ STL-5.8% · Final CIN 5-3 STL
LAA @ SF+9.1% · Final LAA 4-3 SF
ATL @ BAL+10.5% · Final ATL 3-2 BAL
HOU @ CHW+12.1% · Final HOU 3-12 CHW
SD @ MIA-13.7% · Final SD 5-3 MIA

Near Misses

Implication

Cleared, closed, banked. The ledger records it without adjectives.

Closing Line Audit

ATL @ BAL+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
CLE @ TB-1.5 to -1.5 · Model edge
HOU @ CHW+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
LAD @ NYM+1.5 to +1.5 · Model edge
ARI @ WAS+1.5 to +1.5 · Market efficient
CHC @ PIT-1.5 to -1.5 · Market efficient

Why This Matters

A loss that beat the close was a good trade.