Signal density at 50 percent. The market is mispricing tonight.
June 28, 2026 · Updated 2026-06-28T13:58:45.913652Z
Observation
The model reviewed 4 WNBA games on June 28, 2026 and found 3 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 2 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
4 / 4
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
4 of 4
0 of 4
Top Edge · Settled
Dallas Wings +3.5
4.5%+
Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings · MIN 85, DAL 77
Model: -0.4
·
Close: 3.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
MIN @ DAL
+7.5%
-1.0u
LVA @ CHI
+7.3%
Final LVA 107-99 CHI
NYL @ GSV
+4.3%
Final NYL 67-76 GSV
Portland Fire @ WAS
-1.4%
Final Portland Fire 123-124 WAS
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 0 of 4 settled games.
LVA @ CHI
Open: +7.5
·
Close: +7.5
MIN @ DAL
Open: +3.5
·
Close: +3.5
NYL @ GSV
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Portland Fire @ WAS
Open: -4.5
·
Close: -6.5
Near Misses
New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries
3.5 to 4.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entry did not hold and the close did not help. Logged either way.
Sharp Principle
Wins that missed the close get audited too.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›