Games the Model Passed On | April 3, 2026
SharpPicks passed on 9 of 9 NBA games on April 3, 2026. None of these matchups produced enough projected value to justify an official signal.
Analyzed
9
Passed
9
100%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
BOS @ MIL · -17.0 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CHI @ NYK · 16.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
UTA @ HOU · 17.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
MIN @ PHI · -2.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
TOR @ MEM · -13.5
Near threshold but not qualified. Spread exceeds model comfort range. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
IND @ CHA · 16.0
Below internal threshold. Spread exceeds model comfort range. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
ORL @ DAL · -7.0
No measurable edge. Edge insufficient for this spread size. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
NOP @ SAC · -5.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
ATL @ BKN · 16.5
Near threshold but not qualified. Spread exceeds model comfort range. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Related
ReportFull Market Report Apr 3›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings›
TeamBoston Celtics Insights›
TeamChicago Bulls Insights›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
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