Games the Model Passed On | April 10, 2026
SharpPicks passed on 11 of 15 MLB games on April 10, 2026. None of these matchups produced enough projected value to justify an official signal.
Analyzed
15
Passed
11
73%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
NYY @ TB · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
BOS @ STL · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CHW @ KC · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
COL @ SD · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
LAA @ CIN · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
OAK @ NYM · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
PIT @ CHC · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
MIA @ DET · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
HOU @ SEA · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
CLE @ ATL · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
MIN @ TOR · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report Apr 10›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamNew York Yankees Insights›
TeamBoston Red Sox Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
Claim Founding Spot