Games the Model Passed On | April 15, 2026
Passing is part of the system. On April 15, 2026, 3 of 15 MLB games remained below the qualification threshold and were excluded from the official signal layer.
Analyzed
15
Passed
3
20%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
ARI @ BAL · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
CHC @ PHI · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
KC @ DET · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report Apr 15›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamKansas City Royals Insights›
TeamChicago Cubs Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
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