Market Reports / July 11, 2026 / Evening Edition

WNBA Slate Recap | July 11, 2026

3 games analyzed 2 signals Net: -1.0u
Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

The board is loaded. 2 signals from 2 edges.

July 11, 2026 · Updated 2026-07-11T13:58:48.040665Z
Evan Cole · Head of Signal Intelligence
Observation

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 2 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
3 / 3
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
3 of 3 0 of 3
Top Edge · Settled
Phoenix Mercury +10.5 4.5%+
Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces
Model: 6.6 ·
Pending
Edge Map
PHO @ LVA -8.0%
Pending
NYL @ MIN +7.4%
-1.0u
Portland Fire @ ATL -1.9%
Final Portland Fire 102-92 ATL
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 0 of 3 settled games.

NYL @ MIN
Open: -3.5 · Close: -12.5
Market efficient
PHO @ LVA
Open: -10.5 · Close: -9.5
Market efficient
Portland Fire @ ATL
Open: -11.5 · Close: -13.5
Market efficient
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Sharp Principle

A loss that beat the close was a good trade.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
›
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 1 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
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Related
Passes1 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings› GamePHO @ LVA› GameNYL @ MIN› WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› MorningHow the morning called it: WNBA market report›

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