Market Reports / July 11, 2026

WNBA Market Report | July 11, 2026

3 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 57

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On July 11, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 3 WNBA games and found only 2 signals worth sending, with 1 games falling short of the threshold.

MEI
57
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
PHO @ LVA
Density
67.0%
2 of 3
Passed
1
of 3
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Signal
Signal Published
Phoenix Mercury +10.5
PHO @ LVA
Market
10.5
Model
6.6
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
PHO @ LVA 10.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYL @ MIN -5.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
Portland Fire @ ATL 13.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
New York Liberty @ Minnesota Lynx +9.0 pts toward model
Portland Fire @ Atlanta Dream -2.0 pts away
Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces +1.0 pts toward model
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 2. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes1 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings› GamePHO @ LVA› GameNYL @ MIN› WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary› LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet› TonightHow the slate played out: WNBA evening edition›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

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