Double-digit spreads showing the most opportunity.
July 28, 2026 · Updated 2026-07-28T14:01:04.818806Z
Observation
The model reviewed 5 WNBA games on July 28, 2026 and found 3 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 2 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
3 / 5
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
3 of 5
2 of 5
Top Edge · Settled
Seattle Storm +9.5
4.5%+
Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm
Model: 4.4
·
Pending
Edge Map
IND @ SEA
+8.0%
Pending
NYL @ LAS
+8.0%
+0.9u
Portland Fire @ LVA
+4.4%
Final Portland Fire 83-98 LVA
Toronto Tempo @ MIN
+3.1%
Final Toronto Tempo 93-100 MIN
CON @ WAS
+0.3%
Final CON 84-92 WAS
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 2 of 5 settled games.
NYL @ LAS
Open: +4.5
·
Close: +4.5
CON @ WAS
Open: -5.5
·
Close: -6.5
IND @ SEA
Open: +7.5
·
Close: +8.5
Portland Fire @ LVA
Open: -12.5
·
Close: -12.5
Toronto Tempo @ MIN
Open: -14.5
·
Close: -16.5
Near Misses
Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces
3.5 to 4.4%
Edge below threshold.
Toronto Tempo vs Minnesota Lynx
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entries held and the close agreed. Both matter.
Sharp Principle
Receipts over narratives.
How the morning called it
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