Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals | Model Analysis
This matchup showed a meaningful disagreement between price and projection. Whether that disagreement became an official signal depended on edge strength, confidence filters, and validation checks.
Market vs Model
Current SpreadSt. Louis Cardinals +1.5
Model Line+0.0
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%4.5% threshold
Key Factors
Underdog value: Arizona Diamondbacks at +106, 64% win probability vs implied 49%
Line value: 3.0pts better than open (-1.5 → +1.5), buying below market
Line moved 3.0pts toward the model since open. Market converging on the same read.
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report Jul 23›
TeamArizona Diamondbacks Insights›
TeamSt. Louis Cardinals Insights›
LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›
ToolCLV Calculator›
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