Games the Model Passed On | March 23, 2026
Most of the slate stayed inside efficient pricing ranges. As a result, 7 games were logged as passes rather than forced into action.
Analyzed
11
Passed
7
64%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
MEM @ ATL · -14.0 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
GSW @ DAL · 2.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
OKC @ PHI · -14.5
Near threshold but not qualified. Spread exceeds model comfort range.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
HOU @ CHI · 8.5
Below internal threshold. Edge insufficient for this spread size.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
MIL @ LAC · -13.0
No measurable edge. Spread exceeds model comfort range.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
SAS @ MIA · -5.0
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
LAL @ DET · -2.0
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.
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Most games never qualify.
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