Market Reports / March 23, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 23, 2026

11 games analyzed 4 signals MEI: 66

The model reviewed 11 NBA games on March 23, 2026 and found 6 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 4 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

MEI
66
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
TOR @ UTA
Density
36.0%
4 of 11
Passed
7
of 11
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Signal
Signal Published
Utah Jazz +12.5
TOR @ UTA
Market
12.5
Model
5.4
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
TOR @ UTA 12.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
BKN @ POR -14.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
IND @ ORL -13.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIN @ BOS 10.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MEM @ ATL -14.0 4.5%+ FILTERED
GSW @ DAL 2.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OKC @ PHI -14.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
HOU @ CHI 8.5 Below 2% PASS
MIL @ LAC -13.0 Below 2% PASS
SAS @ MIA -5.0 Below 2% PASS
LAL @ DET -2.0 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Boston Celtics No movement
Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons -4.5 pts away
Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic -14.5 pts away
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers +4.0 pts toward model
Houston Rockets @ Chicago Bulls +12.5 pts toward model
Toronto Raptors @ Utah Jazz -2.5 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-3-1
CLV beat
2 of 7

This slate had 11 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 4. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes7 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameTOR @ UTA› GameBKN @ POR› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›

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