Market Reports / March 28, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 28, 2026

6 games analyzed 4 signals MEI: 65

The model reviewed 6 NBA games on March 28, 2026 and found 5 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 4 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

MEI
65
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
SAC @ ATL
Density
67.0%
4 of 6
Passed
2
of 6
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Atlanta Hawks -15.0
SAC @ ATL
Market
-15.0
Model
-18.2
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
SAC @ ATL -15.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
UTA @ PHX 16.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHI @ MEM 3.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ CHA 5.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SAS @ MIL 17.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
DET @ MIN 2.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
San Antonio Spurs @ Milwaukee Bucks -12.0 pts away
Sacramento Kings @ Atlanta Hawks -4.5 pts away
Chicago Bulls @ Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 pts toward model
Utah Jazz @ Phoenix Suns -11.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-3-1
CLV beat
1 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 4. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
Mar 23 Mar 24 Mar 25 Mar 26 Mar 27 Mar 28 Mar 29
Related
Passes2 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameSAC @ ATL› GameUTA @ PHX› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot