Market Reports / March 26, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 26, 2026

3 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 50

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 50, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
50
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
SAC @ ORL
Density
67.0%
2 of 3
Passed
1
of 3
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Orlando Magic -15.5
SAC @ ORL
Market
-15.5
Model
-18.0
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
SAC @ ORL -15.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYK @ CHA -1.0 3.5 to 4.4% SIGNAL
NOP @ DET -4.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
Line Movement
New York Knicks @ Charlotte Hornets +8.5 pts toward model
New Orleans Pelicans @ Detroit Pistons +13.5 pts toward model
Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic -12.0 pts away
San Antonio Spurs @ Memphis Grizzlies No movement
Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz No movement
Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves No movement
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-3-1
CLV beat
1 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 2. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes1 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameSAC @ ORL› GameNYK @ CHA› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting› TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›

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