Market Reports / March 26, 2026 / Evening Edition

NBA Slate Recap | March 26, 2026

3 games analyzed 2 signals Net: -1.0u
Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

More than half the edges cleared the filter.

March 26, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-26T14:15:06.819372Z
Evan Cole · Head of Signal Intelligence
Observation

The model reviewed 3 NBA games on March 26, 2026 and found 2 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 2 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
2 / 13
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
2 of 13 11 of 13
Top Edge · Settled
Orlando Magic -15.5 4.5%+
Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic · SAC 117, ORL 121
Model: -18.0 · Close: -15.5 · CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
SAC @ ORL +7.3%
-1.0u
NYK @ CHA +4.2%
Final NYK 103-114 CHA
NOP @ DET +3.0%
Final NOP 108-129 DET
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 11 of 13 settled games.

NYK @ CHA
Open: -2.5 · Close: -2.5
Model edge
NOP @ DET
Open: -4.5 · Close: -4.5
Market efficient
SAC @ ORL
Open: -7.5 · Close: -7.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons 2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Sharp Principle

Variance is rent. CLV is equity.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
›
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-3-1
CLV beat
1 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
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Related
Passes1 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameSAC @ ORL› GameNYK @ CHA› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator› MorningHow the morning called it: NBA market report›

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