The board is loaded. 4 signals from 5 edges.
March 28, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-28T14:15:06.859510Z
Observation
The model reviewed 6 NBA games on March 28, 2026 and found 5 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 4 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
-1.5
CLV Held
4 / 5
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
4 of 5
1 of 5
Top Edge · Settled
Atlanta Hawks -15.0
4.5%+
Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks · SAC 113, ATL 123
Model: -18.2
·
Close: -13.5
·
CLV: -1.5
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
SAC @ ATL
+8.0%
-1.0u
UTA @ PHX
-8.0%
Pending
CHI @ MEM
+7.0%
Final CHI 119-109 MEM
PHI @ CHA
-5.1%
Final PHI 118-114 CHA
SAS @ MIL
+3.7%
Final SAS 127-95 MIL
DET @ MIN
-0.8%
Final DET 109-87 MIN
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 1 of 5 settled games.
CHI @ MEM
Open: +3.0
·
Close: +1.5
DET @ MIN
Open: -2.0
·
Close: +19.5
SAC @ ATL
Open: -15.0
·
Close: -10.5
SAS @ MIL
Open: +18.5
·
Close: +30.5
UTA @ PHX
Open: -16.5
·
Close: -27.5
Near Misses
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks
3.5 to 4.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Signal missed. Tracked, not removed.
Sharp Principle
A loss that beat the close was a good trade.
How the morning called it
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