Market Reports / March 22, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 22, 2026

5 games analyzed 1 signal MEI: 48

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 2 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
48
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
WAS @ NYK
Density
20.0%
1 of 5
Passed
4
of 5
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Minnesota Timberwolves +10.0
MIN @ BOS
Market
10.0
Model
7.1
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
WAS @ NYK -20.0 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ BOS 10.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TOR @ PHX -2.5 Below 2% PASS
BKN @ SAC -6.5 Below 2% PASS
POR @ DEN 9.0 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets -5.5 pts away
Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks +9.5 pts toward model
Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets No movement
Brooklyn Nets @ Sacramento Kings No movement
Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks No movement
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-3-1
CLV beat
2 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 1. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes4 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameWAS @ NYK› GameMIN @ BOS› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting›

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