Market Reports / March 18, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 18, 2026

9 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 61

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On March 18, 2026, that process resulted in 3 published signals and 6 passes.

MEI
61
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
OKC @ BKN
Density
33.0%
3 of 9
Passed
6
of 9
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Memphis Grizzlies +13.0
DEN @ MEM
Market
13.0
Model
9.6
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
OKC @ BKN 19.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DEN @ MEM 13.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAL @ HOU 2.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
GSW @ BOS -12.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAC @ NOP 2.0 2 to 3.4% PASS
UTA @ MIN 13.5 Below 2% PASS
ATL @ DAL 8.5 Below 2% PASS
POR @ IND 11.5 Below 2% PASS
TOR @ CHI 7.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
Line Movement
Golden State Warriors @ Boston Celtics +8.5 pts toward model
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Brooklyn Nets -12.5 pts away
Portland Trail Blazers @ Indiana Pacers +3.0 pts toward model
Los Angeles Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans -9.5 pts away
Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks -10.0 pts away
Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets +6.0 pts toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
2 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 6 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes6 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameOKC @ BKN› GameDEN @ MEM› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone›

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