Market Reports / March 17, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 17, 2026

8 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 61

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 4 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
61
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
DET @ WAS
Density
38.0%
3 of 8
Passed
5
of 8
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
New York Knicks -15.5
IND @ NYK
Market
-15.5
Model
-20.7
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
DET @ WAS 17.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
IND @ NYK -15.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CLE @ MIL 10.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHX @ MIN 4.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIA @ CHA 4.0 2 to 3.4% PASS
OKC @ ORL 10.0 Below 2% PASS
SAS @ SAC 13.5 Below 2% PASS
PHI @ DEN -15.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards +4.0 pts toward model
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Orlando Magic No movement
Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks +10.0 pts toward model
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 pts toward model
Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 pts away
San Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings -14.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
2-5
CLV beat
2 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes5 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameDET @ WAS› GameIND @ NYK› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›

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