Underdogs carrying the value. 4 of 5 edges on dogs.
March 17, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-17T14:15:05.883328Z
Observation
The model reviewed 8 NBA games on March 17, 2026 and found 4 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 3 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
-1.5
CLV Held
5 / 4
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
5 of 4
-1 of 4
Top Edge · Settled
New York Knicks -15.5
4.5%+
Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · IND 110, NYK 136
Model: -20.7
·
Close: -14.0
·
CLV: -1.5
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
DET @ WAS
+8.0%
Final DET 130-117 WAS
IND @ NYK
+8.0%
+0.9u
CLE @ MIL
+8.0%
Pending
PHX @ MIN
-8.0%
Pending
MIA @ CHA
-3.1%
Final MIA 106-136 CHA
OKC @ ORL
+0.8%
Final OKC 113-108 ORL
SAS @ SAC
+1.5%
Pending
PHI @ DEN
+1.9%
Pending
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on -1 of 4 settled games.
CLE @ MIL
Open: +10.0
·
Close: +6.5
IND @ NYK
Open: -16.5
·
Close: -26.5
OKC @ ORL
Open: +9.5
·
Close: +9.5
DET @ WAS
Open: +17.5
·
Close: +13.5
MIA @ CHA
Open: -3.5
·
Close: -27.5
PHI @ DEN
Open: -15.5
·
Close: -32.5
Near Misses
Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Sharp Principle
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›