Games the Model Passed On | April 4, 2026
SharpPicks passed on 14 of 15 MLB games on April 4, 2026. None of these matchups produced enough projected value to justify an official signal.
Analyzed
15
Passed
14
93%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
HOU @ OAK · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
BAL @ PIT · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
LAD @ WAS · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
TB @ MIN · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
ATL @ ARI · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PHI @ COL · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
NYM @ SF · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
MIL @ KC · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
STL @ DET · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
SEA @ LAA · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
TOR @ CHW · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
SD @ BOS · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
CIN @ TEX · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
CHC @ CLE · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
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WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
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