Games the Model Passed On | April 5, 2026
Passing is part of the system. On April 5, 2026, 10 of 15 MLB games remained below the qualification threshold and were excluded from the official signal layer.
Analyzed
15
Passed
10
67%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
TB @ MIN · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
NYM @ SF · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
ATL @ ARI · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PHI @ COL · -1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
LAD @ WAS · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
SEA @ LAA · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
SD @ BOS · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
TOR @ CHW · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
STL @ DET · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
BAL @ PIT · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
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WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
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