Games the Model Passed On | April 5, 2026
Most of the slate stayed inside efficient pricing ranges. As a result, 10 games were logged as passes rather than forced into action.
Analyzed
11
Passed
10
91%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
TOR @ BOS · 9.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
ORL @ NOP · -6.0 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
LAL @ DAL · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
CHA @ MIN · -3.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
MEM @ MIL · 7.0
No measurable edge. Edge insufficient for this spread size. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
IND @ CLE · 15.5
Below internal threshold. Spread exceeds model comfort range. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
UTA @ OKC · 24.0
Near threshold but not qualified. Spread exceeds model comfort range. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
LAC @ SAC · 13.0
Near threshold but not qualified. Spread exceeds model comfort range. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
WAS @ BKN · -3.5
Near threshold but not qualified. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
PHX @ CHI · 11.0
Near threshold but not qualified. Spread exceeds model comfort range. Player availability uncertainty.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
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