Games the Model Passed On | April 6, 2026
Passing is part of the system. On April 6, 2026, 11 of 13 MLB games remained below the qualification threshold and were excluded from the official signal layer.
Analyzed
13
Passed
11
85%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
KC @ CLE · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
MIL @ BOS · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
STL @ WAS · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
SEA @ TEX · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PHI @ SF · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CHC @ TB · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
HOU @ COL · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
ATL @ LAA · -1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
BAL @ CHW · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
SD @ PIT · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
LAD @ TOR · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report Apr 6›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamLos Angeles Dodgers Insights›
TeamKansas City Royals Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
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