Games the Model Passed On | April 8, 2026
Most of the slate stayed inside efficient pricing ranges. As a result, 12 games were logged as passes rather than forced into action.
Analyzed
15
Passed
12
80%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
SD @ PIT · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
KC @ CLE · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PHI @ SF · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
STL @ WAS · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
ATL @ LAA · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CHC @ TB · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
DET @ MIN · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
LAD @ TOR · -1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
BAL @ CHW · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
ARI @ NYM · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
MIL @ BOS · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
CIN @ MIA · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
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WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
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