Market Reports / April 8, 2026

MLB Market Report | April 8, 2026

15 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 62

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 10 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
62
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
SD @ PIT
Density
20.0%
3 of 15
Passed
12
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Seattle Mariners -1.5
SEA @ TEX
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.1
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
SD @ PIT -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
KC @ CLE -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ TEX -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
HOU @ COL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ SF -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
STL @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ATL @ LAA -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OAK @ NYY 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ TB -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DET @ MIN -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
LAD @ TOR -1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
BAL @ CHW 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
ARI @ NYM 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
MIL @ BOS 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CIN @ MIA 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
Line Movement
Milwaukee Brewers @ Boston Red Sox -3.9 pp away
Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox +3.1 pp toward model
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers +0.5 pp toward model
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays +0.8 pp toward model
Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies +0.4 pp toward model
Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants +1.6 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
1 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
Apr 6 Apr 7 Apr 8 Apr 9 Apr 10 Apr 11 Apr 12
Related
Passes12 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameSD @ PIT› GameKC @ CLE› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot