Market Reports / April 9, 2026

MLB Market Report | April 9, 2026

6 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 54

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 54, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
54
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
CIN @ MIA
Density
33.0%
2 of 6
Passed
4
of 6
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Athletics +1.5
OAK @ NYY
Market
1.5
Model
-0.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CIN @ MIA -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OAK @ NYY 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DET @ MIN -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
COL @ SD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHW @ KC 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ NYM 1.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Athletics @ New York Yankees -3.2 pp away
Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins +2.2 pp toward model
Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets +0.3 pp toward model
Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals +0.3 pp toward model
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres -1.1 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
2 of 7

This slate had 6 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 2. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes4 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameCIN @ MIA› GameOAK @ NYY› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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