No directional lean: 2 chalk, 3 dogs.
April 9, 2026 · Updated 2026-04-09T15:01:01.371674Z
Observation
Most slates look efficient on the surface. On April 9, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 6 MLB games and found only 2 signals worth sending, with 4 games falling short of the threshold.
Slate Result
+0.8u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
5 / 6
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
5 of 6
1 of 6
Top Edge · Settled
Athletics +1.5
4.5%+
Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees · OAK 1, NYY 0
Model: -0.3
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +0.8u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
CIN @ MIA
-6.0%
Final CIN 1-8 MIA
OAK @ NYY
-6.0%
+0.8u
DET @ MIN
-6.0%
Final DET 1-3 MIN
COL @ SD
-6.0%
Final COL 1-1 SD
CHW @ KC
-4.9%
Final CHW 2-0 KC
ARI @ NYM
-0.4%
Final ARI 7-1 NYM
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 1 of 6 settled games.
OAK @ NYY
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
ARI @ NYM
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHW @ KC
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CIN @ MIA
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -4.5
COL @ SD
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
DET @ MIN
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Cleared, closed, banked. The ledger records it without adjectives.
Sharp Principle
The math does not celebrate.
How the morning called it
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